中国2026：全球再平衡，经济格局重塑 —— 泰国必须做好准备 （SO OK TRADING 撰文）

泰国正进入一个新时代，“铝罐”不再只是包装材料，而是可持续性、创新和循环增长的象征。 预计到2025年，金属包装产业的总收入将超过180亿泰铢，其中铝材占74.22%，铝罐更是以58.48%的份额位居首位。越来越多的企业正在从塑料转向铝，以实现ESG目标，并打造现代化、环保的品牌形象。 如果您正在寻找用于可持续包装或工业用途的铝卷材（Aluminium Coil）、铝锭（Ingot）、再熔铝（Remelt）， 请立即联系 SO OK TRADING。

Copper prices are expected to remain elevated and bullish in 2026, driven by strong demand from the green energy transition (EVs, renewables, grid upgrades) and persistent mine supply constraints/disruptions, with forecasts generally placing prices in the $10,000 to over $12,000 per tonne range, although some analysts foresee a slight cooling to $10,000-$11,000 as market balances tighten. Key factors include IRA spending, AI infrastructure needs, constrained new mine supply, and potential Chinese economic recovery, creating tight markets despite some projected minor surpluses. Key Price Predictions (2026): Goldman Sachs: $10,000 - $11,000/tonne range, averaging $10,710/tonne in H1 2026. J.P. Morgan: Averaging around $12,075/tonne, with potential spikes to $12,500/tonne in Q2. Bank of America: Average of $11,313/tonne, with potential for $15,000/tonne spikes. UBS: $11,000/tonne by Sept 2026. World Bank: Average of $9,800/tonne. Bullish Drivers: Energy Transition: Massive demand for grid expansion, EVs, and renewable infrastructure. AI Infrastructure: Increased demand for data centers. Supply Deficit: Mine disruptions (Grasberg, Kamoa-Kakula, etc.) and difficulty bringing new mines online. China: Potential economic rebound acting as a catalyst. Potential Headwinds/Volatility: Policy-induced Surpluses: E.g., from IRA incentives or scrap availability. Stronger USD: Can weigh on commodity prices. Slower Demand: If China's recovery falters. Overall Outlook: Expect a tight market with strong underlying demand, leading to high prices, but with significant volatility due to policy shifts and mine output fluctuations. The market is moving towards a structural deficit, supporting higher prices long-term

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