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「战争加剧·通胀飙升·石油火热!2026年3月23日至27日:黄金、白银与全球股市价格与趋势评估 —— SO OK TRADING」

Last updated: 23 Mar 2026
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「战争–通胀–石油火热!下周全球市场进入风险回避模式」

下周(2026年3月23日至27日),全球市场将进入最高级别的谨慎状态(Risk-off)。中东战争可能进一步升级,原油价格持续飙升,美国和欧洲央行依然维持严格的货币政策,这些负面因素叠加,使投资者必须更加谨慎地制定策略。尤其是黄金、白银和原油,正逐步进入战略性买入区间。

 

黄金(Gold Spot & 泰国黄金)

关键支撑位:$4,400–$4,500(若跌破$4,400,可能下探至$4,300)
策略:等待价格在$4,400–$4,500区间形成底部后,分批买入
泰国黄金(96.5%):70,000–72,000泰铢,靠近70,000泰铢时为中期投资的良好买点
 

⚪ 白银(Silver Spot)

关键支撑位:$71(若跌破,可能测试100日均线$69)
策略:在$69–$71区间分批买入,中期持有
长期目标:$81/盎司(摩根大通与汇丰预测)
泰国价格:54,500–59,500泰铢/公斤,靠近55,000泰铢时为理想买点
 

️ 原油(WTI/Brent)

价格区间:$92.50–$99.69/桶
支撑位:$92.50–$94.20
阻力位:$100.90–$105.00
策略:短线交易为主,若价格回落至$92.50附近可考虑中期买入,但需密切关注地缘政治风险
 

全球股市

美国:受通胀与经济衰退担忧影响,道琼斯与纳斯达克下跌
欧洲:ECB与BoE继续保持紧缩政策,股市承压
亚洲:香港与印度股市随全球趋势下跌
泰国:SET指数预计在1,400–1,460点区间波动,需关注中东局势与资金流动
 

⚔️ 战争最新动态

中东:美国要求伊朗在48小时内解除霍尔木兹海峡封锁,否则可能发动攻击,局势紧张
以色列–伊朗:战争进入第4周,预计将长期化
乌克兰–俄罗斯:俄罗斯加大对乌克兰能源基础设施的攻击力度
 

️ 食品与FMCG价格

全球因素:物流成本飙升、化肥供应危机、必需品囤积
泰国:生鲜食品价格上涨5–10泰铢,FMCG产品可能减少促销
美国/欧洲:能源价格上涨导致通胀再度抬头
中国/日本:进口FMCG价格因汇率波动而上涨
 

✅ 投资策略总结

黄金/白银:关注$4,400–$4,500(黄金)、$69–$71(白银)的买入机会
原油:在$92.50–$99.69区间进行短线交易,警惕地缘政治风险
股市:保持风险回避,重视现金与安全资产
 

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