“Gold 2026: From Safe Haven to Super Bull Run — Surging into Crisis Mode, Eyeing 100,000 THB or $8,000/Oz”

Gold Prices Surge into Crisis Mode: The Safe Haven of 2026

In early March 2026, the global gold market is experiencing its hottest rally in decades. The war between the United States and Iran, with Israel’s involvement, has ignited geopolitical tensions, turning gold into the ultimate safe-haven asset that investors worldwide are rushing to buy.

Global Market (Gold Spot)

Extreme Volatility: By late February, gold soared to $5,260–$5,600 per ounce driven by safe-haven demand
Short-Term Pullback: News of Iran’s Supreme Leader’s death pulled prices back to $5,270, though still at elevated levels
Short-Term Outlook: Key resistance lies at $5,300–$5,400. A breakout could trigger “Fear Trade” momentum toward $5,600
Medium-Term Outlook: If the war escalates into a “Parabolic Phase” in Q2, prices could reach $8,000 per ounce
Financial Institutions’ Views

UBS & SocGen: Forecast $6,000–$7,200
JP Morgan: Year-end target $6,300
Goldman Sachs: Resistance at $5,400
Thai Gold Prices (96.5% Gold Bar)

Current Status (March 1, 2026): Selling price at 77,600–78,000 THB, up 12,650 THB since the start of the year
Sharp Moves: Reports show a single-day increase of 1,450 THB
Q2 Outlook: Likely to hold firmly above 80,000–85,000 THB
Peak Target for 2026: If the war drags on, prices could hit 100,000 THB per baht-weight gold
Key Drivers to Watch

Military Situation: Attacks on oil infrastructure or the Strait of Hormuz would immediately spike prices
Oil Prices: A 10–20% surge would fuel inflationary pressure and push gold into a “Super Bullish” phase
U.S. Policy: Donald Trump’s return and new tariff measures add uncertainty to the global economy
Central Bank Buying: Continued accumulation of gold by central banks provides strong support
Fed Interest Rates: Two rate cuts this year would further enhance gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset
Investment Strategies: Direction & Trends

Short-Term Investors: Watch resistance at $5,400 and $5,600. A breakout could trigger panic buying
Long-Term Investors: If prices pull back to $5,000–$5,100 on peace talks, it’s an attractive accumulation zone
Caution: The market is in “High Volatility.” Closely monitor special announcements from the Gold Traders Association
 

✨ SO OK TRADING Gold Market Overview

Gold is entering a rally reminiscent of the 1979 energy crisis. This time, however, the drivers are geopolitical tensions, oil prices, and U.S. economic policy—making a surge to $6,000–$8,000 within the year a realistic scenario.

For investors, this is a time that demands both courage and caution, as every move in the war could reshape the gold chart overnight.

SO OK TRADING — Your Partner and Business Ally
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